I scored 106 American occupations on AI exposure. Not with a survey. Not with vibes. With BLS employment data from May 2024, the Felten AIOE academic index, and the same JPE methodology I built for the Dutch AI Exposure Map.
The result is a scored, ranked, open dataset covering 90.7 million jobs across 22 sectors. And the single most important finding contradicts what most people assume.
High AI exposure does not mean job loss
Software developers score 9 out of 10 on AI exposure. They also have 17% projected job growth through 2033 and a median salary of $133,000. Data scientists score 9/10 with 36% growth. The pattern holds across IT & Computing, the sector with the highest average AI exposure (8.3/10): every occupation in it is growing.
Meanwhile, cashiers score just 5/10 on exposure but face 10% projected decline. The jobs most at risk are not the most exposed to AI. They are the ones where automation meets low switching costs and thin margins.
The sectors that stand out
Business & Finance leads on average exposure at 8.0/10. Accountants, HR specialists, and market researchers all work with structured data that AI processes faster than humans. Office & Admin follows at 7.3/10, covering 11 million jobs where document processing and customer service are being rewritten by AI tools right now.
At the other end: Agriculture (2.0/10), Maintenance (2.0/10), and Construction (2.6/10). Physical work, unpredictable environments, low data density. AI barely touches these.
The concentration problem
61% of all projected job decline in this dataset is concentrated in just 5 occupational groups. That means AI policy, reskilling programs, and workforce planning can focus on a surprisingly small number of categories to cover the majority of affected workers.
What this means in practice
I build AI for a living. At my company, we built an AI recruiter that automated 80% of the recruitment process. The people it recruits — registered nurses — score 5/10 on AI exposure. Their paperwork changed. Their job did not disappear. It got better.
That is the pattern across this dataset. AI reshapes the task composition of a job. It rarely eliminates the job itself. The occupations that shrink were already shrinking before AI. AI accelerates a trend that was already there.
Check your occupation
The full dataset is free, open, and downloadable. Run your own occupation through the US Career Scan to get a personal report with your AI exposure score, salary benchmark, and growth projection.
Or explore the interactive US map to see all 106 occupations at once.
Sources
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