Methodology: This scan analyses 106 US occupations based on BLS OEWS May 2024 employment and salary data, combined with BLS Employment Projections (2023-2033). AI exposure scores use the JPE methodology (LLM-estimated, cross-validated with Felten AIOE). Historical trends are synthetic (derived from BLS 10-year projections), not observed employment history. The 2030 forecast combines BLS momentum with AI disruption pressure calibrated for US labor market dynamics.
Important: A high AI score does not automatically mean job loss. Software Developers score 9/10 but BLS projects +17% growth (2023-2033). Interpret as directional analysis, not a labor market forecast.
Sources: BLS OEWS May 2024 · BLS Employment Projections 2023-2033 · Felten AIOE Index · Full methodology