Methodology: This scan analyses 103 CBS occupational groups representing approximately 5.8 million jobs — approximately 60% of the Dutch working population. AI exposure scores are model estimates (LLM-generated), not empirical measurements. NL vulnerability scores account for DBA legislation, EU AI Act Art. 14, healthcare sector regulation and demand elasticity. The 2030 forecast combines historical momentum with AI disruption pressure, modulated by NL vulnerability.
Important: A high AI score does not automatically mean job loss — software developers score 9/10 but grew +80% historically (2015–2025) with a 2030 forecast of +10% to +17%. Conversely, agriculture and fisheries are declining not because of AI but due to policy. Interpret as directional analysis, not a labour market forecast.
Sources: CBS Statline · CBS BRC 2014 · ROA 2021 · Inspired by Karpathy/jobs (MIT)