Simon Janssen
Simon Janssen· CTO at HappyNurse · US AI Exposure Map 2026
Office & Admin

First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers and AI

High exposureAI score 7/10 · Office & Admin
7out of 10
JPE Score
Median salary
$70K
OEWS May 2025
Forecast 2030
-15% to +5%
Employment
1.5M
BLS Employment Projections 2025
Employment growth 2021-2025 (OEWS)
0%
Forecast trend 2025-2030
decline
Education
Associate
Sector
Office & Admin

Exposure scores

JPE (Practical Exposure)7/10 — High exposure
Felten AIOE (academic reference)9/10
Employment growth 2021-2025 (OEWS)0%

AI exposure explained

What does an AI score of 7/10 mean?

Interpretation

High exposure — Many tasks in this occupation can be automated or AI-assisted. Adaptation is key.

High AI exposure combined with an expected decline creates real disruption risk for First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers. Workers in this field should build AI-adjacent skills and look at related roles with better prospects.


Forecast 2030

What changes for First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers?

Expected employment change, 2025 to 2030
-15% to +5%
Midpoint -4% · Decline and high AI exposure: reorientation advisable
BaseBLS projection, AI not named by BLS0%
Base + AIJPE 7/10: −3.7%-4%
Base + AI + roboticsno robotics effect before 2030-4%
Rows add up: the bottom row is the forecast.

The forecast starts from the national projection per occupation and adds AI and robotics as separate layers. The band of -15% to +5% matters more than the midpoint.

BLS AI exposure category: Very high (context next to the JPE score, not used in the forecast)

Sources: base BLS Employment Projections 2025-35 · jobs: BLS Employment Projections, 2025 (incl. self-employed) · growth 2021-2025: OEWS May 2021 to May 2025 · salary: OEWS May 2025. BLS already builds AI and automation effects into its projection for some occupations; where it does, no separate layer is added on top.

Read the methodology →


Sector context

Office & Admin and AI

First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers belongs to the Office & Admin sector. This sector has an education level index of 2/4, indicating moderate formal education requirements. Occupations in Office & Admin with high AI exposure tend to see significant task restructuring as AI tools handle information-intensive work.


AI tools

Which AI tools are already making an impact?

Microsoft CopilotChatGPTGrammarly

Career outlook

Reskilling direction

This occupation is expected to decline and is under serious pressure from AI automation. The directions below match your current skills and education level and have better prospects.

Home Health and Personal Care AidesJPE 3/10
Healthcare Support
Medical AssistantsJPE 5/10
Healthcare Support
Retail SalespersonsJPE 5/10
Sales

Personal development

Personal development plan

Based on your sector (Office & Admin) and AI exposure level, here are three concrete steps to future-proof your career.

Master document and email automation

AI handles 80% of routine correspondence and formatting

→ Microsoft Copilot, Grammarly
Implement AI scheduling and coordination

Calendar management and booking become hands-free

→ Microsoft Copilot, Reclaim AI
Optimize workflows with no-code AI

Automate repetitive processes without coding skills

→ Notion AI, Zapier AI

Related occupations

Similar occupations on the map

Customer Service Representatives
AI 8/10·-3% 2030
Office & Admin
Office Clerks, General
AI 8/10·-3% 2030
Office & Admin
Secretaries and Administrative Assistants
AI 8/10·-3% 2030
Office & Admin
General and Operations Managers
AI 6/10·0% 2030
Management
Accountants and Auditors
AI 8/10·-3% 2030
Business & Finance

About this analysis

AI scores are LLM-estimated using the same methodology as the Dutch AI Exposure Map, making scores directly comparable across countries. The Felten AIOE score is shown as an academic reference. Employment from BLS Employment Projections 2025-35 (2025, including self-employed); growth 2021-2025 and salaries from BLS OEWS May 2021 and May 2025 (an estimate where OEWS has no figure). The 2030 forecast (JPE-prognose v3) starts from the BLS Employment Projections and adds separate AI and robotics layers only where BLS does not already include those effects. These are modelled scenarios, not predictions. A high AI score does not automatically mean job loss. All data CC BY 4.0.

Full methodology, sources and download →


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