Will AI take your job?

I scored 105 US occupations on AI exposure, validated against the Felten AIOE index and adjusted for practical adoption barriers. The answer is more nuanced than you think.

105occupations scored
≈ 98Mjobs covered (estimate)
25high AI exposure

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An audit in September 2026 found that the historical data and the forecast model for this country do not meet our standard. We are rebuilding them on official statistics (BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics and BLS Employment Projections). Until then we show no 2030 forecast and no historical growth. The AI exposure score (JPE) is not affected. Job counts are rounded estimates.

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The short answer

AI will not “take” most jobs. It will change them. The data shows that AI automates tasks, not occupations. Software developers score 9/10 on AI exposure, yet demand for their work has not disappeared. Nurses score 5/10 but are protected by regulation and shortages.

The real question is not whether AI affects your job. It’s which tasks within your job are most exposed, and what you do about it.

Most AI-exposed occupations

Software Developers and Programmers9/10≈ 1.7M jobsData Scientists9/10≈ 0.3M jobsCustomer Service Representatives8/10≈ 2.7M jobsOffice Clerks, General8/10≈ 2.6M jobsSecretaries and Administrative Assistants8/10≈ 1.9M jobsAccountants and Auditors8/10≈ 1.6M jobsBookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks8/10≈ 1.5M jobsMarket Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists8/10≈ 1.0M jobs

Most AI-proof occupations

Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand2/10≈ 2.9M jobsJanitors and Cleaners2/10≈ 2.4M jobsWaiters and Waitresses2/10≈ 2.3M jobsConstruction Laborers2/10≈ 1.5M jobsCooks, Restaurant2/10≈ 1.4M jobsMaids and Housekeeping Cleaners2/10≈ 1.3M jobsCarpenters2/10≈ 0.9M jobsHairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists2/10≈ 0.6M jobs
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