Simon Janssen
Simon Janssen· CTO at HappyNurse · UK AI Exposure Map 2026
Skilled Trades

Welding Trades and AI

Low exposureAI score 3/10 · Skilled Trades
3out of 10
JPE Score
Median salary
£34K
ASHE 2024
Forecast 2030
-10% to +5%
Employment
48K
ONS APS 2025
Employment growth 2021-2025 (ONS APS)
-10%
Forecast trend 2025-2030
decline
Part-time
5%
Female share
3%
Sector
Skilled Trades

Exposure scores

JPE (Practical Exposure)3/10 — Low exposure
Employment growth 2021-2025 (ONS APS)-10%

AI exposure explained

What does an AI score of 3/10 mean?

Interpretation

Low exposure — AI is unlikely to significantly change this occupation in the near term.

Welding Trades has low AI exposure, meaning most tasks require physical presence, interpersonal skills, or tacit knowledge that AI cannot automate in the near term.


Forecast 2030

What changes for Welding Trades?

Expected employment change, 2025 to 2030
-10% to +5%
Midpoint -4% · Declining occupation: look at related growth occupations
Basenational projection, without AI-3%
Base + AIJPE 3/10: 0%-3%
Base + AI + roboticsphysical automation, already under way: −1.5%-4%
Rows add up: the bottom row is the forecast.

The forecast starts from the national projection per occupational group and adds AI and robotics as separate layers. The band of -10% to +5% matters more than the midpoint. Robotics: Welding robots have been common in mass production (the car industry) for years and are already part of the trend; on-site and one-off welding remains manual work. (Expert estimate 4/10, effect to 2030 between 0% and −3%.)

Sources: base DfE Labour market and skills projections 2020 to 2035 (Working Futures), baseline · jobs, part-time and female share: ONS Annual Population Survey (Nomis NM_218_1), 2025 · salary: ASHE 2024. Working Futures differentiates growth only at the level of 26 occupational sub-major groups; the AI and robotics layers refine per occupation.

Read the methodology →


Simon Janssen
The person behind this map

I build with AI. And I track what it does to work.

I'm Simon Janssen, CTO and management board member at HappyNurse. This map shows, occupation by occupation, what AI does to work, based on official labour-market data rather than hype. On LinkedIn I share what I see as a CTO: what AI is already taking over, what it isn't, and what that means for people.


Sector context

Skilled Trades and AI

Welding Trades belongs to the Skilled Trades sector. This sector has an education level index of 2/4, indicating moderate formal education requirements. Occupations in Skilled Trades with high AI exposure tend to remain relatively stable as the work relies primarily on physical, interpersonal, or contextual skills.


AI tools

Which AI tools are already making an impact?

ChatGPTAugmentir

Career outlook

Reskilling direction

This occupation is expected to decline, mainly due to lower demand or automation of physical work rather than AI. The directions below match your current skills and education level and have better prospects.

ElectriciansJPE 3/10
Skilled Trades
Gardeners and Landscape GardenersJPE 2/10
Agriculture & Skilled Trades
Bricklayers and MasonsJPE 1.5/10
Construction

Personal development

Personal development plan

Based on your sector (Skilled Trades) and AI exposure level, here are three concrete steps to future-proof your career.

Use AI diagnostic tools

Pinpoint issues faster and reduce time-to-fix by 30%

→ Augmentir, ServiceTitan
Adopt predictive parts inventory

AI ensures the right parts are in stock before you need them

→ ServiceTitan, ChatGPT
Automate service scheduling and dispatching

AI optimises routes and job assignments in real-time

→ ServiceTitan, Housecall Pro

Related occupations

Similar occupations on the map

Electricians
AI 3/10·-3% 2030
Skilled Trades
Motor Vehicle Mechanics
AI 4/10·-3% 2030
Skilled Trades
Managers in Retail and Wholesale
AI 4.5/10·+4% 2030
Management
Psychologists
AI 4.5/10·+4% 2030
Healthcare

International

This occupation in other countries

🇺🇸Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers
AI 3/10Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers
🇩🇪Schweißer/innen
AI 3/10Welders
🇫🇷Soudeurs
AI 3/10Welders

About this analysis

AI scores are LLM-estimated using the same methodology as the Dutch AI Exposure Map, making scores directly comparable across countries. Where shown, the Felten AIOE score is an academic reference. Job counts, growth 2021-2025, part-time and female share from the ONS Annual Population Survey (Nomis NM_218_1), SOC 2020; salaries from ASHE 2024 (an estimate where ASHE has no figure). The 2030 forecast (JPE-prognose v3) starts from the DfE Working Futures baseline and adds separate AI and robotics layers. These are modelled scenarios, not predictions. A high AI score does not automatically mean job loss. All data CC BY 4.0.

Full methodology, sources and download →


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